Game Time: 7:45pm EDT Saturday November 21st, 2009
Lines at time of blog post: Nebraska (-16.5) Over/Under (44.5)
The weather conditions should be perfect for this HUGE Big 12 North football game at Memorial Stadium, in Lincoln, Nebraska on Saturday when Kansas State comes to town to face off against the Cornhuskers. The winner of this game will control their own destiny in the Big 12 North for the right to face Texas in the Big 12 Championship game in December. Many people feel that if Nebraska can win this game, they match up very well on both sides of the ball against the team from Austin, Texas. However, time will tell and Nebraska better not look past the challenge that lies in front of them on Saturday.
In front of a home crowd that should exceed 81,000, Bo Pelini will have to have his Blackshirts charged up and ready for this game. The Nebraska offense, which is ranked 77th in the nation and averaging 353.4 yards per game, takes a very balanced approach. The Cornhuskers offense is averaging 152.4 yards on the ground and 201 yards passing per game. It is this potent balanced offense that should keep a suspect Kansas State defense on its heels especially late in the game. At home this season Nebraska is averaging around 28.2 points per game, while the Kansas State defense is giving up around 37 points per game on the road. The defense for Nebraska is a different story. Nebraska's overall 10th ranked defense has been down right nasty this season and even more so at home. Kansas States 76th ranked offense may find it very difficult to move the ball on this stingy Cornhusker defense. Nebraska's defense is only giving up 9.2 points per game at home and only giving up 11 points per game overall this season.
Kansas State staggers into Lincoln with a (1-4) away record this season and having just come off a home loss to Missouri (12-38). Playing on the road has not been very kind to the Wildcats thus far this season. Their offense which scores around 24.8 points per game, has found points hard to come by on the road, only scoring around 17 points in opponents stadiums. Their offense will have to be in great form, if they expect to keep up with Nebraska in this game. For Kansas State to keep this game close, and keep themselves in the football game, they will need a big day from their junior running back, Daniel Thomas. Daniel Thomas is averaging around 5.1 yards per carry this season and has 11 rushing touchdowns. He is currently the leading rusher and currently leading the team in touchdowns as well. Kansas State will need him to have a monster game against a pretty good rush defense in Nebraska. Nebraska is giving up on average 94.7 rushing yards per game, making them the 11th ranked rush defense in the nation.We do feel that in a game of such high emotions with lots on the line, perhaps risking 16.5 points with Nebraska may not be the best pick for this game, of course given everything above taking the 16.5 points with Kansas State is certainly no gimmie ither. If the Nebraska offense can play at a high tempo against a vulnerable Kansas State defense, and the Kansas State offense moves the ball well with Daniel Thomas leading to a few points, we think that the best bet here may be on the total.
Suggested Lean: Over 44.5 (Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between K-State & Nebraska. Also the O/U opened up at 43 at some books, and has jumped up to 44.5 suggesting that money has already begun to come in on the Over.)
Where The Bookies Don't Stand A Chance !
Get ALL of our NFL & NCAAF plays for the entire '09-10 season with our "Football Pass"
No comments:
Post a Comment